Story of a Stock · Field notes

Journal

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The flagship lane

Company Stories

44stories · 37 cos

The Notebook

  1. No.
    01
    Sector mapsTwelve contract factories: earnings grew in both cohorts. The multiple moved in only oneTwelve Indian electronics makers, split by what they build. The five AC and consumer makers turn 4–10% margins into cash; the seven specialists earn 10–20% and are owed it. Both trade near 80–85 times earnings. Since January the specialists are 2.5x with the P/E doing most of it; the AC makers are flat. Then the chain, and which way each specialist is moving.EMSElectronics manufacturing
  2. No.
    02
    ProductWe scored 121 earnings calls. Then the market voted.We scored all 121 Q4 FY26 earnings calls, then watched the stocks for two months. Strong calls ran ahead of the market and kept going; weak ones fell behind and stayed there — plus an honest accounting of how much of that edge is hindsight.121-company testScore vs price
  3. No.
    03
    ProductA stock can rally and get cheaperTwo weeks ago I started keeping every valuation reading instead of overwriting it. The biggest movers since include a stock whose price didn't budge and one that rose 9% while getting cheaper — because valuation moves for two different reasons, and only one of them is the price.Valuation scoreImplied growth
  4. No.
    04
    ProductIs the quarterly score telling us anything?I stress-tested our quarterly scores against real profits and real stock prices across 18 companies. What the score is, what it isn't, and the one pattern that paid every time.18-company backtestScore vs returns
  5. No.
    05
    How I investWhat is my criteria?What I'm building is secondary. What I'm really trying to do is solve my investing decisions — and that comes down to one question: what is my criteria?My criteriaConviction
  6. No.
    06
    How I investHow the analysis becomes a decisionThe machinery behind a single call on a stock: seven elements, a trust-and-understanding gate, four component scores, one composite, and finally — with direction and reward asymmetry — a decision.7 elementsComposite score
  7. No.
    07
    How I investSwing variables: tracking the story between quartersAn experiment: tracking each company's story the way you'd track an EPS beat — expected vs delivered, beat/match/miss — and finding the few variables that can swing the whole trajectory.Swing variablesBeat / match / miss
  8. No.
    08
    ProductMaking it worth your timeAlmost every change to the portal right now comes back to one idea: a working investor can't read everything. The portal's job is to earn the time you give it.Attention budgetWhat to cut
  9. No.
    09
    ProductWhat is Story of a Stock?The wedge, the portfolio problem I'm building it to solve, and the ladder from raw data to an actual buy/sell decision.The wedgeRaw data → decision

Story of a Stock — Journal · Field notes on ~100 mid & small caps

Journal – Story of a Stock