How Scores Work
Two separate scoring models, explained clearly
Start with Growth Score (forward outlook), then read Quarterly Score (execution). These are separate models and should be read independently.
Growth Score Model
How the Growth Score is built
Growth Score is a weighted blend of business catalysts, scenario outcomes, guidance quality, execution confidence, and market context. The final output is a comparable 0-10 score for forward outlook.
Catalyst Strength (30%)
Higher-conviction business catalysts lift the score when they are concrete, near-term, and commercially meaningful.
Scenario Strength (25%)
Base, Upside, and Downside cases are read together to assess expected growth range and balance of outcomes.
Guidance Strength (15%)
Clear, quantified guidance and execution milestones increase confidence in the forward growth path.
Execution Confidence (15%)
Feasibility, adoption readiness, unit economics, and timing quality indicate how investable the growth plan is.
Management Sentiment (10%, when available)
Recent management tone and commentary can reinforce or soften the growth view.
Industry Context (5%, when available)
Sector tailwinds, headwinds, and cycle position provide context for how much of growth is structural versus cyclical.
How scenarios are read
- Base, Upside, and Downside are interpreted together, not in isolation.
- Confidence quality influences how much conviction the scenario set deserves.
- More durable drivers support higher conviction, while visible risks pull confidence lower.
- The model applies directional stress so upside and downside are not treated as equal-quality paths.
What gets returned
How to read this score
Base 18%, Upside 26%, Downside 10%, Growth score 8.4
- What supports this: strong catalyst pipeline and clearer execution milestones.
- What could pull it lower: weaker adoption pace or demand volatility in key segments.
If some optional context inputs are unavailable, the score still computes from available components and stays on the same 0-10 scale.