Score framework
How scores are calculated
Growth Score looks forward. Quarterly Score measures execution. Read them as two separate lenses inside the same research workflow.
Score models
2
Forward outlook and execution read
Scale
0-10
Comparable across companies and time
Read order
Growth → Quarterly
Start with outlook, then check delivery
Growth score model
How the Growth Score is built
Growth Score is a weighted blend of business catalysts, scenario outcomes, guidance quality, execution confidence, and market context. The output is a comparable 0-10 score for forward outlook.
Catalyst Strength (30%)
Higher-conviction business catalysts lift the score when they are concrete, near-term, and commercially meaningful.
Scenario Strength (25%)
Base, Upside, and Downside cases are read together to assess expected growth range and balance of outcomes.
Guidance Strength (15%)
Clear, quantified guidance and execution milestones increase confidence in the forward growth path.
Execution Confidence (15%)
Feasibility, adoption readiness, unit economics, and timing quality indicate how investable the growth plan is.
Management Sentiment (10%, when available)
Recent management tone and commentary can reinforce or soften the growth view.
Industry Context (5%, when available)
Sector tailwinds, headwinds, and cycle position provide context for how much of growth is structural versus cyclical.
How scenarios are read
- Base, Upside, and Downside are interpreted together, not in isolation.
- Confidence quality influences how much conviction the scenario set deserves.
- More durable drivers support higher conviction, while visible risks pull confidence lower.
- The model applies directional stress so upside and downside are not treated as equal-quality paths.
What gets returned
Score bands
Exceptional
≥ 8.5Top-conviction outlook: strong base, well-supported scenarios, durable catalysts.
Strong
8.0 – 8.4Solid base growth and supportive scenarios; visible execution path.
Solid
7.5 – 7.9Clearly positive outlook with reasonable conviction; some moving parts to monitor.
Moderate
7.0 – 7.4Mixed conviction or lower base growth; needs further evidence to firm up.
Soft
6.5 – 6.9Weak conviction or downside-heavy scenarios; growth is unclear.
Weak
< 6.5Material concerns on growth visibility or execution.
Coverage distribution
105 companies
Current coverage universe — how the cohort actually distributes across these bands today.
How to read this score
Base 18%, Upside 26%, Downside 10%, Growth score 8.4
- What supports this: strong catalyst pipeline and clearer execution milestones.
- What could pull it lower: weaker adoption pace or demand volatility in key segments.
If some optional context inputs are unavailable, the score still computes from available components and stays on the same 0-10 scale.
Read Growth first, then Quarterly. Both models stay on the same 0-10 scale but answer different questions.