PG Electroplast Limited

PGEL

Qtr Score Rank 37 / 57 (Top 37 percentile)Growth Score Rank 34 / 51 (Top 35 percentile)

Quarterly Score

Trend: Declining
Concerning decline - Recent 3Q avg 5.97 vs 5Q avg 9.06 (-3.09)

Showing the latest 12 quarterly points (newest to oldest).

Score context (latest 12 quarters)

Q4 FY2024
8.8

Management guided for FY25 PGEL revenue of at least INR 3,400 Cr and Group revenue of INR 4,000 Cr (46% growth). PAT guidance is set at a minimum of INR 200 Cr. Product business (RAC, Washing Machines, Coolers) is expected to grow 44% to INR 2,400 Cr.

Quarter summary

  • Transformation from a component supplier to a product-led manufacturer is accelerating, with the product business now contributing 61% of total operating revenues.
  • The company is aggressively expanding capacity with a INR 370-380 Cr capex plan for FY25, including a new integrated RAC unit in Rajasthan and a greenfield washing machine facility in Greater Noida.

Rationale

  • Material improvement in profitability with FY24 PAT growing 77% YoY (INR 137 Cr) on revenue growth of 27% (INR 2,746 Cr), demonstrating significant operating leverage and cost discipline.
  • Major de-leveraging milestone achieved with net debt declining by INR 325 Cr during the year, aided by a QIP and strong internal accruals, significantly strengthening the balance sheet for the next growth phase.
Q1 FY2025
9.2

Revised upwards: PGEL standalone revenue at least ₹3,650 crore plus ₹600 crore from JV (Goodworth Electronics), totaling ₹4,250 crore (+55% YoY). PAT guidance raised to ₹216 crore (+58% YoY).

Quarter summary

  • Reached landmark milestones with all-time high quarterly revenue and profits, driven by triple-digit growth in the Room AC (RAC) segment.
  • Aggressive market share gains in outsourced manufacturing for consumer durables, leveraging a 'delivery-first' differentiation strategy over competitors.

Rationale

  • Explosive financial trajectory with Q1 FY25 operating revenue growing 95% YoY to ₹1,320 crore and PAT surging 151% YoY to ₹85 crore, reflecting massive scale-up in the product business.
  • Material deleveraging achieved during a high-growth phase, with net debt declining by ₹103 crore in the quarter due to efficient inventory run-down and strong cash generation.
Q2 FY2025
9.0

Management significantly raised FY25 guidance: Operating revenue revised to ₹4,250 Cr (plus ₹600 Cr from Goodworth JV) and Net Profit to ₹250 Cr. Visibility is backed by a robust order book in RAC and Washing Machines extending through March 2025.

Quarter summary

  • Significant scale-up in the product business (AC, Washing Machines, Coolers), which now contributes 54% of total operating revenue, shifting the company profile toward higher-value manufacturing.
  • Strategic focus on capital efficiency and asset sweating, targeting a net fixed asset turn of 4.5x - 5.0x despite aggressive CAPEX plans of ₹370-380 Cr.

Rationale

  • Material upward revision in FY25 guidance: Revenue target raised to ₹4,850 Cr (including JV) vs FY24 base, representing 77% YoY growth; PAT guidance raised to ₹250 Cr, implying 83% YoY growth.
  • Exceptional H1FY25 performance with 126% YoY PAT growth (₹104.4 Cr) and 75% revenue growth (₹1,992 Cr), driven by massive outperformance in the Room AC segment (+143% YoY in H1).
Q3 FY2025
9.3

Raised significantly; FY25 group revenue guidance increased to INR 5,100 Cr (approx. 86% growth) and standalone PAT guidance raised to at least INR 280 Cr (105% growth). Capital expenditure maintained at INR 370-380 Cr.

Quarter summary

  • Strategic inventory front-loading (INR 1,025 Cr) to insulate operations from global compressor supply chain shortages through the peak summer season.
  • Aggressive move toward deeper backward integration with advanced discussions for compressor and motor manufacturing to improve long-term margins and control.

Rationale

  • Exceptional top-line and bottom-line momentum with Q3 operating revenue growing 82% YoY (INR 967 Cr) and PAT surging 110% YoY (INR 40.14 Cr), showcasing massive operating leverage.
  • Management significantly raised FY25 guidance: Operating revenue target increased to INR 4,550 Cr for PGEL (plus INR 550 Cr from JV) and PAT guidance raised to INR 280 Cr, implying a 105% YoY growth in net profit.
Q4 FY2025
9.0

Strongly positive: Guided for FY26 Group Revenue of ₹7,200 Cr (+33% YoY) and PAT of ₹405 Cr (+39% YoY). Product business is expected to grow ~35% to ₹4,770 Cr. FY26 PLI accrual is estimated at ₹37.5 Cr.

Quarter summary

  • Strategic entry into the Refrigerator market and backward integration into Compressor manufacturing to capture more value-add in the HVAC ecosystem.
  • Diversification of risk through a broad client base of 35+ brands, which shielded the company from specific channel inventory issues reported by major AC OEMs.

Rationale

  • Exceptional financial scaling with FY25 revenue growing 77% YoY (₹4,869 Cr) and PAT surging 112% YoY (₹291 Cr), demonstrating powerful operating leverage.
  • The core Product Business (RAC, Washing Machines, Coolers) grew 111% YoY to ₹3,525 Cr, significantly outperforming the industry despite a 5% decline in ASPs in some categories.
Q1 FY2026
4.2

Materially cut. FY26 Standalone Revenue revised to ₹5,700–5,800 Cr; Group Revenue (inc. JV) revised to ₹6,550–6,650 Cr; PAT revised to ₹300–310 Cr; CAPEX reduced to ₹700–750 Cr (from ₹800–900 Cr).

Quarter summary

  • The quarter was defined by a 'weather-driven' disruption where an early monsoon abruptly ended the Room AC (RAC) season, leading to massive inventory overhang and order cancellations.
  • Management has shifted to a defensive stance, scaling back planned CAPEX by ~₹100–150 Cr and delaying the Compressor JV due to regulatory hurdles in China.

Rationale

  • Material downward revision of FY26 guidance: Standalone revenue target cut to ₹5,700–5,800 Cr and PAT to ₹300–310 Cr, reflecting a loss of momentum in the core RAC segment.
  • Significant working capital stress: Inventory levels surged to ₹1,356 Cr in June 2025 (vs. ~₹368 Cr in RAC last year), an incremental buildup of nearly ₹1,000 Cr that has strained cash flows and necessitated ₹20 Cr in unplanned financing costs for debtor discounting.
Q2 FY2026
5.5

Maintained FY26 guidance: Revenue of Rs 5,700-5,800 crores and PAT of Rs 300-310 crores. Group sales (including JV) projected at Rs 6,550-6,650 crores. CapEx for FY26 maintained at Rs 700-750 crores.

Quarter summary

  • Strategic shift towards a multi-product platform with significant investments in Refrigerators (FY27 rollout) and POS devices to counter AC seasonality.
  • High industry-wide channel inventory overhang (estimated at 1.5-2 million units) remains a headwind for primary sales in the near term.

Rationale

  • Material bottom-line deterioration in Q2 with Net Profit crashing to Rs 2.4 crores (impacted by lower operating leverage and a Rs 8.4 crore FOREX loss) vs the aggressive FY26 PAT guidance of Rs 300-310 crores.
  • Core Room AC (RAC) business saw a 45% YoY decline in Q2 revenues (Rs 131 crores), though the company slightly outperformed the broader industry's 25% H1 decline.
Q3 FY2026Latest
8.2

Maintained FY26 guidance of INR 5,700-5,800 crore in revenue and ~INR 300 crore in PAT. This implies a very strong Q4 target (historically the strongest quarter), requiring ~INR 170 crore in PAT to meet the full-year goal.

Quarter summary

  • The company is transitioning to a 'Large Campus' model to drive cost leadership through massive backward integration and logistics optimization across three regional hubs.
  • Management has shifted focus from percentage margins to 'per-piece margin' protection, successfully renegotiating pricing with brands to pass through commodity spikes with minimal lags.

Rationale

  • Material market share gains in the Room AC (RAC) segment, with PGEL posting 27% growth in 9M FY26 against an industry decline of 15-20%, demonstrating superior execution and client stickiness.
  • Aggressive integrated capacity expansion with INR 700-750 crore capex focused on three strategic hubs (North, West, South), including a 1.2M unit refrigerator facility in Sricity and a 72-acre land parcel in Ahmednagar for long-term backward integration.

Future Growth Prospects

Growth score: 8.2Visibility: 70%Updated: 01 Mar 2026, 09:08 am

Catalysts (next 12-24 months)

Total triggers: 3Visible per view: 1 / 2 / 3Slides: 3

Swipe or use arrows to browse all triggers.

capacityQ4 FY27Impact: revenueQty: 1.2 units

Refrigerator Campus Sricity

Timeline

  • in progressAug-2025 · concall

    Timeline for project will be tentative. 12 to 14 months from now to start mass production.

  • in progressNov-2025 · concall

    Acquired land parcel of 54 acres in Andhra Pradesh; starting construction. Hope to start Q4 FY27.

    Land acquired and construction commencement

Show full timeline (3)
  • in progressFeb-2026 · concall

    1.2 million capacity should be up and running by Q4 FY27. First year loading 30% to 40%.

    Quantified capacity and initial loading expectations

Supporting evidence

Q3 FY26 · concall · Putting up 1.2 million refrigerator capacity in Sricity factory; up and running by Q4 FY27.

capacityFY26EImpact: revenueQty: 2 units

Washing Machine Expansion

Timeline

  • announcedFY25 · annual_report

    Plan to double production capacity to two million units annually.

  • in progressAug-2025 · concall

    Capacity… will take it to the level of more than 2 million washing machines in the current FY.

    Commitment to 2M unit annual capacity reach

Show full timeline (3)
  • scaledNov-2025 · concall

    Washing machine capacity is already expanded and we have close to 2 lakh per month today.

    Capacity expansion completion reported

Supporting evidence

Q3 FY26 · concall · Washing machine capacity expanded to 2 lakh per month; business grew 46% in 9M FY26.

productQ1 FY27Impact: revenue

POS Devices Partnership (PAX Global)

Timeline

  • announcedNov-2025 · concall

    Expecting to start some pilot production within the quarter 3 of FY '26.

  • in progressFeb-2026 · concall

    Models under testing; hopeful that in coming 1 or 2 months, we should be able to have order book.

    Shift from pilot to customer evaluation and imminent order book

Supporting evidence

Q3 FY26 · concall · Agreement with PAX Global for POS devices; models under testing/evaluation with Indian customers.

Variant perception

Non-consensus view
Consensus

Market may overstate in-sourcing risk; management asserts brands cannot maintain capital efficiency with seasonal in-house manufacturing.

Upside
  • Diversification into POS and electronic components (ECMS) adds non-seasonal revenue streams.
Show more (1)
  • Southern India refrigerator facility provides unique logistical advantage for regional brand expansion.
Downside
  • SAP transition-related margin distortions may persist longer than management anticipates.
Show more (1)
  • High raw material inventory (₹1,160 Cr) carries financing cost risks if summer demand falters.
base case80% conf
Growth: 18

Quick takeaway

15-17% annual growth in RAC business despite high channel inventory.

Risk watch: Summer season delay in Southern/Northern India impacting RAC sell-out.

Show details (2 drivers, 2 risks)

Drivers

  • 15-17% annual growth in RAC business despite high channel inventory.
  • 40-45% robust growth in washing machine segment maintained into Q4.

Risks

  • Summer season delay in Southern/Northern India impacting RAC sell-out.
  • Higher channel inventory (5 million units) stalling primary sales.
upside case50% conf
Growth: 23

Quick takeaway

Early/strong summer leading to rapid liquidation of 5M unit industry inventory.

Risk watch: Raw material price volatility exceeding pass-through capabilities.

Show details (2 drivers, 2 risks)

Drivers

  • Early/strong summer leading to rapid liquidation of 5M unit industry inventory.
  • Faster-than-expected ramp-up of PAX Global POS device order book.

Risks

  • Raw material price volatility exceeding pass-through capabilities.
  • Supply chain disruptions for imported components.
downside case30% conf
Growth: 10

Quick takeaway

Prolonged high inventory levels causing pricing pressure and delayed orders.

Risk watch: Negative operating leverage if peak manufacturing months (Jan-Mar) underutilize capacity.

Show details (2 drivers, 2 risks)

Drivers

  • Prolonged high inventory levels causing pricing pressure and delayed orders.
  • Significant delay in China government approval for compressor JV.

Risks

  • Negative operating leverage if peak manufacturing months (Jan-Mar) underutilize capacity.
  • Forex losses impacting PAT (₹8.2 Cr loss in Q3).

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